TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
polymarket
kalshi

Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Volume:
$73,164

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 7:19 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$39,591
N/A
N/A
$36,843
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,862
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$28,711
N/A
N/A
$20,754
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an NPB baseball game between the Nippon Ham Fighters and the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks scheduled for September 1 at 5:00AM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental logical contradiction where Kalshi always resolves to Yes while Polymarket has multiple resolution pathsHero tip: Do not hedge positions across these platforms. Polymarket positions can lose while Kalshi positions always win, creating unresolvable contradictions

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to "Nippon Ham Fighters", "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks", or 50-50 for ties/cancellations. Quote: "If the game is canceled entirely... this market will resolve 50-50"
  • Kalshi: Always resolves to Yes regardless of winner. Quote: "If Fukuoka Hawks wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters wins... then the market resolves to Yes"
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 1 at 5:00AM ET: If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the specified Japan NPB game originally scheduled for September 1, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price. A tie results in a 50/50 resolution for both markets.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Fighters vs. Hawks matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how trader sentiment and volume evolve as the game approaches. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $73,164, and 24-hour volume of $64,851 across all venues. This gives you a live snapshot of market expectations for this matchup, letting you compare how Polymarket and Kalshi price the contest. The view updates continuously, reflecting shifts in trader confidence ahead of the final result.