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406,065

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks?

Volume:
$145,818

Over 7.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 5:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50,712
N/A
N/A
$28,381
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,191
N/A
N/A
$12,916
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,688
N/A
N/A
$11,780
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,793
N/A
N/A
$9,170
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers two distinct baseball games between the Nippon Ham Fighters and the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks. The Polymarket contract resolves based on the outcome of an NPB professional game, while the Kalshi contracts resolve based on run totals from a specified college baseball game scheduled for the same date and time in 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental scope mismatch between professional NPB game outcome and college baseball run total thresholdsHero tip: Do not treat these as the same event - they resolve from completely different competitions. Verify whether each contract references professional or college play before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team of the professional NPB game between Nippon Ham Fighters and Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks. Market remains open for postponements, resolves 50-50 for cancellations or ties.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if total runs in a college baseball game between Fukuoka Hawks and Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters exceed sequential thresholds (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5). No market for game outcome or professional play.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 19 at 1:00AM ET: If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the Fukuoka Hawks and Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters collectively score more than the specified threshold (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs) in their College Baseball game scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT. Each outcome corresponds to a different run total threshold, escalating the required offensive output. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Fighters vs. Hawks matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the contest. It displays current probabilities, volume of $145,818, and 24-hour volume at $145,805, letting users compare sentiment across platforms. This unified view helps track shifting expectations as the game approaches, with all data updated live to reflect market activity.

Price differences between Polymarket and Kalshi can stem from varying user bases, liquidity levels, and market design features. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, Polymarket might attract more international traders, skewing its odds, while Kalshi could have tighter spreads due to lower fees. Additionally, each platform’s trading volume influences price discovery, so shifts in activity can cause divergence in implied probabilities for the same event.

Injuries, weather conditions, and recent performance trends can all shift this market as the game nears. Key moments such as starting lineups, pitcher or pitcher performance updates, and even day-of-game betting surges influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute roster changes or venue news may cause rapid adjustments in implied probabilities before the final whistle.