TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks?

Volume:
$1,299,684

Fukuoka Hawks

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 14, 2026

Closed: Jul 14, 3:39 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$804,326
N/A
N/A
$369,702
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$490,580
N/A
N/A
$232,796
Settled
No
polymarket

Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,778
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a single NPB game between the Nippon Ham Fighters and Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks scheduled for July 14, 2026. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the consensus probability for the Nippon Ham Fighters to win stands at 10.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official NPB website. Watch for the game's completion on July 14, 2026, as this date marks both the event window and the trigger for final market settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Hawks win and Fighters win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making simultaneous resolution impossible. This is a data integrity failure that renders the Kalshi market unresolvable as written.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The Polymarket version is logically sound: one team wins and resolves to that team's name, or the game is canceled/tied and resolves 50-50. Kalshi appears to have duplicated a single Yes outcome for both teams rather than creating opposing binary outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Winner-takes-all structure with clear binary outcomes. Resolves to 'Nippon Ham Fighters' if they win, 'Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks' if they win. Cancellation, tie, or postponement without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: npb.jp. This is logically consistent.
  • Kalshi: Both outcomes stated to resolve Yes: 'If Fukuoka Hawks wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters wins...resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible in a single game and suggests a template error or missing No outcome definition.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 14 at 12:00AM ET: If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the game originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per standard procedures. In the event of a tie, the market resolves 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Hawks matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds on the game outcome. Both venues enable participants to buy and sell shares tied to the result, with prices reflecting the collective forecast of thousands of traders. The cross-platform view helps you spot pricing differences and track how consensus shifts as game day approaches. Total volume across both platforms provides insight into market depth and trader conviction around this matchup.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks both express odds, but they operate differently. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from live supply and demand among traders with real money at stake. Prediction market odds often reflect sharper, less biased forecasts because traders profit or lose based on accuracy rather than volume. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injury reports. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities for informed bettors.

Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions on game day and any late-breaking roster updates can shift trader sentiment significantly. Major player absences or unexpected roster moves often trigger sharp price moves as informed traders adjust their positions. Media coverage and expert commentary may also influence retail trader behavior. Monitor official team announcements and sports news outlets for developments that could reshape odds before the final whistle.