TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Chiba Lotte Marines
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Chiba Lotte Marines?

Volume:
$198,585

Chiba Lotte Marines

 - Kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 9:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$108,215
N/A
N/A
$52,695
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

View
0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$81,597
N/A
N/A
$57,631
Settled
No
polymarket

Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,772
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Nippon Ham Fighters versus Chiba Lotte Marines baseball game, resolving to the winning team with a 50-50 split in the event of a tie or cancellation without a make-up game. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi gives a 10.0% chance to Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Chiba Lotte Marines. Resolution will be based on data reported by https://npb.jp/. Keep an eye on the game scheduled for September 15th, as the market will remain open until that game is completed or canceled, per the resolution rules.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves to 'Yes' if *either* team wins, while Polymarket has separate outcomes for each team. Kalshi also specifies a date in the future (2026).Hero tip: Consider the differing resolution logic when assessing probabilities. Kalshi's 'Yes' outcome encompasses both possible winners, potentially inflating the implied probability of a win compared to Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Nippon Ham Fighters or Chiba Lotte Marines) if the game is completed. Resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled or ends in a tie. Remains open if postponed.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either the Nippon Ham Fighters or Chiba Lotte Marines wins the game originally scheduled for September 15, 2026. This implies a 'Yes' outcome for either team winning.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 15 at 5:00AM ET: If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event covers a Japanese NPB baseball game scheduled for September 15, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT between the Chiba Lotte Marines and Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters. If the game occurs as scheduled or is rescheduled within two days, the market resolves based on the winning team. If postponed beyond two days or cancelled, the market resolves at a fair price. A tie results in a 50/50 split. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Marines game. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of one team winning, with a combined volume of $198,585. This allows traders to compare probabilities and volume across both venues, providing a comprehensive overview of market sentiment. The dashboard tracks the evolving predictions as new information becomes available, offering a dynamic perspective on the potential result of this baseball matchup. The 24-hour volume is $196,808.

Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of information than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective judgment of informed traders. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets are often more sensitive to nuanced information and less susceptible to biases inherent in sportsbook modeling. However, both offer valuable insights; comparing them can reveal where the crowd and the bookmakers disagree on the likely outcome of the Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Marines game.