TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Chiba Lotte Marines
kalshi
polymarket

Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

Volume:
$26,108

Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

 - Polymarket

Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Chiba Lotte Marines - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 10:04 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

View
57%
16%
Yes 57¢No 43¢
100¢
N/A
$16,805
N/A
N/A
$10,325
Settled
No
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines

View
43%
13%
Yes 43¢No 57¢
100¢
N/A
$5,072
N/A
N/A
$2,943
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Chiba Lotte Marines game in the Japan NPB league. The markets differ in how they resolve based on the game's result, with one using a binary outcome and the other specifying exact team names.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets have different resolution structures: Kalshi resolves to a binary Yes if either team wins, while Polymarket resolves to specific team names or a 50-50 split for ties/cancellations.Hero tip: Traders should be cautious about the differing resolution mechanics, especially in cases of ties or cancellations, which could lead to unexpected outcomes on one platform but not the other.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either the Nippon Ham Fighters or the Chiba Lotte Marines win the game scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Nippon Ham Fighters if they win, Chiba Lotte Marines if they win, and 50-50 if the game is postponed, canceled, or ends in a tie. The game in question is scheduled for August 28 at 5:00 AM ET.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 28 at 5:00AM ET: If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB game originally scheduled for August 22, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters wins, their market resolves to Yes; if Chiba Lotte Marines wins, their market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price. A tie results in a 50/50 resolution for both markets.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Fighters vs. Marines matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and divergence in trader sentiment. It displays cumulative volume of $26,108 and 24-hour volume of $10,731, letting you monitor how Polymarket and Kalshi price this market. The view highlights the current leading outcome and any notable shifts, giving a clear snapshot of market dynamics as they evolve toward resolution.

Injuries to key players, changes in starting pitchers, or sudden shifts in team performance can all move this market. Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi will react to any pre-game news, mid-season updates, or late-breaking developments that affect the perceived likelihood of each outcome, often causing rapid swings in implied probabilities as new information emerges.