TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The success of a film can be gauged by how critics review it, often summarized in aggregate scores. These markets focus on predicting whether a specific movie will achieve various levels of critical acclaim by a set date. The outcomes depend purely on critical consensus, not box office performance or audience reception.
All markets resolve based on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of the film Nimrods as measured on August 17, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market has a specific threshold; the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the Tomatometer score exceeds the respective threshold (e.g., above 45, above 50, etc.). For instance, a score of 75 would resolve as 'No' for the 'Above 75' market, as it must be strictly above the stated value. Determination occurs the Monday following the film's wide release. Importantly, these markets are purely descriptive and do not imply any endorsement or affiliation between Rotten Tomatoes and the sponsoring entity. All references to Rotten Tomatoes are for illustrative purposes only.
This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Nimrods' Rotten Tomatoes score is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, based on approved critic reviews aggregated by Rotten Tomatoes, will determine which market outcome is correct.
Several key signals could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 17, 2026. Early reviews following the film's premiere will heavily influence trader sentiment, with aggregated critic scores and audience reactions creating rapid adjustments. Any notable controversies, controversies involving the director or cast, or significant media coverage could also drive volatility. Additionally, viewing metrics such as streaming platform viewership or social media trends may impact perceptions of audience reception, prompting traders to reassess their positions as the release date approaches.