TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market evaluates the victory margin in the Nijmegen vs Feyenoord soccer match. Outcomes depend on whether Nijmegen or Feyenoord wins by more than certain goal margins, reflecting dominance in the match.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if Nijmegen or Feyenoord wins the match. The first two markets require Nijmegen to win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, respectively. The latter two markets require Feyenoord to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, respectively. All resolve only for outright wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. If the stated condition is met, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their analysis, but this market allows anyone to express their opinion, leading to a potentially more accurate assessment of probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the event. Comparing these odds can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all traders. The current market price represents the aggregated assessment of all participants regarding the likelihood of each possible result in the Nijmegen vs Feyenoord match.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nijmegen vs Feyenoord match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—the spread—was accurately predicted by the close of trading. Traders will then be paid out or have their funds forfeited based on whether their predictions aligned with the final result. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams can influence trading activity, causing price fluctuations. Even late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could move the market. Monitoring these signals can help traders make more informed decisions as the event draws nearer.