TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Nigma Galaxy vs. PlayTime
kalshi
limitless

Who will win Nigma Galaxy vs. PlayTime?

Volume:
$67,121

Nigma Galaxy

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 11:19 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nigma Galaxy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,870
N/A
N/A
$17,897
Settled
Yes
limitless

Nigma Galaxy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-0.1¢
N/A
$1,026
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

PlayTime

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,994
N/A
N/A
$29,603
Settled
No
limitless

PlayTime

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,232
N/A
N/A
$1,993
Settled
No
limitless

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on the outcome of a Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and PlayTime scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT as part of the Esports World Cup 2026. Markets track whether PlayTime wins, Nigma Galaxy wins, or the match ends in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Nigma Galaxy win, PlayTime win, Tie) are mapped to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Limitless uses standard binary outcome logic (YES/NO/Other) consistent with esports match settlement.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. The resolution structure is broken and will fail settlement. Use Limitless markets only, which follow industry-standard match outcome resolution with a hard deadline of August 11, 2026, 23:59 UTC for official results.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: All three conditions resolve to YES regardless of match outcome. Kalshi states: If Nigma Galaxy wins, YES. If PlayTime wins, YES. If Tie, YES. This creates logical impossibility—only one outcome can occur, but all three map to the same resolution.
  • Limitless: Standard binary outcome markets. PlayTime market resolves YES if PlayTime wins, NO otherwise. Nigma Galaxy market resolves YES if Nigma Galaxy wins, NO otherwise. Draw market resolves YES if match ends in draw, NO otherwise. All markets resolve to Other if no official result by August 11, 2026, 23:59 UTC.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the winner of the Esports World Cup 2026 Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and PlayTime scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT. Each possible outcome—Nigma Galaxy victory, PlayTime victory, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes. The match result determines which team or outcome prevails in the tournament competition.

Limitless

This market refers to the match between PlayTime and Nigma Galaxy in the Esports World Cup 2026, scheduled for Jul 11, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 11, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market prices for the Nigma Galaxy vs. PlayTime esports match across Kalshi and Limitless, letting you monitor real-time odds on both sides of the matchup. Traders on each platform continuously update their positions, creating a live consensus view of who the market expects to win. You can compare how each venue prices the outcome, spot divergences between them, and track volume across both platforms to gauge overall interest and conviction in the event.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks both reflect probability, but they operate differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets let traders themselves set prices through supply and demand. This often makes prediction markets more efficient at discovering true probability, especially for niche events like esports matches where traditional sportsbooks may have limited liquidity. Comparing the two can reveal whether one venue is overvaluing or undervaluing a particular outcome relative to the other.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injuries or substitutions, recent tournament performance, and head-to-head history. Pre-match interviews, coaching changes, or patch updates affecting the game itself can shift trader conviction. Betting volume spikes often precede major esports events, and any official statements from either organization about their preparation or strategy may trigger repricing. Monitor community sentiment and expert commentary as the match date approaches.