TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Nigeria vs Madagascar
kalshi

Nigeria vs Madagascar

Volume:
$1,442,484

Nigeria

 - Kalshi

Nigeria - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 1:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nigeria

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$404,219
N/A
N/A
$252,228
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Madagascar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$735,088
N/A
N/A
$396,499
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$303,178
N/A
N/A
$165,071
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Nigeria will win its professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game against Madagascar. Currently, Kalshi gives Nigeria a 74.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 22.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the game originally scheduled for September 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding any extra time or penalties—according to Kalshi’s resolution source. Keep a close watch on the kickoff of the match on September 25, 2026, as that will begin the window for determining the outcome of this market.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Nigeria vs Madagascar AFCON Qualifiers match scheduled for September 25, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Nigeria win, Madagascar win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning in regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the teams are level after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the rare event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will instead resolve to a fair price following platform procedures. The operator explicitly states no official affiliation with the governing league or its trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Nigeria vs Madagascar match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome changes over time, as well as the total volume traded – currently $1,442,484 with $1,417,856 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to this specific contest. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different results in the Nigeria vs Madagascar match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions that drive the price on Kalshi closer to their collective assessment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Nigeria vs Madagascar match.

This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Nigeria vs Madagascar match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be officially closed and payouts calculated based on their positions in this market.

Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies for either Nigeria or Madagascar could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also be a factor. Furthermore, public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions and expert analysis, can drive trading volume and price movements. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments could also indirectly affect how traders assess the likelihood of different outcomes in the Nigeria vs Madagascar match.