TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Nigeria vs. France
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Nigeria vs. France?

Volume:
$137,966

France

 - Kalshi

France - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 10:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

France

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36,690
N/A
N/A
$31,542
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nigeria

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62,373
N/A
N/A
$55,366
Settled
No
polymarket

Nigeria vs. France

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This group resolves based on the outcome of a single FIBA Women's World Cup basketball game between Nigeria and France, scheduled for September 7, 2026. The market determines which country wins the game, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled without a reschedule.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'Yes' outcome for either team winning, while Polymarket directly resolves to 'Nigeria' or 'France'.Hero tip: Focus on the official game result to determine the winner, as both markets will likely follow the same outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves directly to 'Nigeria' if Nigeria wins, or 'France' if France wins. The description explicitly states the resolution values.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Nigeria or France wins. The 'Yes' outcome is not explicitly tied to a specific team, creating ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 7 at 8:30AM ET: If the Nigeria win, the market will resolve to "Nigeria". If the France win, the market will resolve to "France". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on the official outcome of the France vs Nigeria women's professional FIBA World Cup basketball game scheduled for September 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM EDT. If either team wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it is not officially associated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate individual beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially in events where information is rapidly changing or public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and conventional betting venues, as each operates with distinct incentives and information sources.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Nigeria vs. France match can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, leading to differing opinions. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the displayed prices. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed across prediction markets.