TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 6:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Nigeria wins by 2 or more goals against Poland during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 3, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 3, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, this outcome is priced through continuous order-book trading where buyers and sellers establish the implied probability in real time. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the marginal trader's assessment of Nigeria scoring at least two more goals than Poland by full-time whistle. As match conditions, team news, and betting flows evolve, the price adjusts automatically. Liquidity and spread width depend on current order-book activity and trader participation in this specific binary contract.
The market resolves at Jun 4, 2026, following the conclusion of the Nigeria versus Poland match. Resolution is determined by the final score: the market settles to YES if Nigeria wins by a margin of two or more goals, and NO otherwise. Any outcome where Poland wins, the match ends in a draw, or Nigeria wins by exactly one goal will result in a NO resolution. Traders should monitor official match results from recognized sports data providers.
Key catalysts include team-sheet announcements, injury updates to star players, recent form and head-to-head history, and pre-match analysis from football experts. Weather conditions on match day, tactical adjustments by either coach, and early-match momentum can shift trader conviction significantly. Social media sentiment, betting syndicate activity, and live-score developments during the match itself will drive price swings. Monitor official team communications and sports news outlets for breaking updates that may alter perceived probability of a two-goal Nigerian victory.