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$134.1b

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$113,466,932

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$1,423,222,590

402,751

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30,217

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Nicholls Colonels vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals (W)
kalshi
polymarket

Nicholls Colonels vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals (W)

Volume:
$17,466

Nicholls Colonels vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals (W)

 - Polymarket

Nicholls Colonels vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals (W) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 2:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Nicholls Colonels vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Incarnate Word

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$13,169
$12,144
0%
0%
$11,942
N/A
kalshi

Nicholls St.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$58
$5,227
0%
0%
$1,718
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Nicholls State Colonels and Incarnate Word Cardinals scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the outcome of this single game, with different resolution mechanics across platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's binary Yes/Yes resolution logic is internally contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket uses proper categorical resolution. This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's side.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's market entirely due to logical impossibility of settlement. Polymarket's market is the reliable settlement source. Confirm with Kalshi that their market terms are erroneous before any position is taken.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary structure with both outcomes resolving to Yes, making it impossible to differentiate winners. Both conditional statements resolve identically regardless of game result.
  • Polymarket: Categorical resolution: Nicholls Colonels win = resolves to Nicholls Colonels; Incarnate Word Cardinals win = resolves to Incarnate Word Cardinals. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.