TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
NHL Conn Smythe Trophy
kalshi

NHL Conn Smythe Trophy

Volume:
$1,515,647

Jordan Staal

 - Kalshi

Jordan Staal - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 11:13 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jordan Staal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$198,534
N/A
N/A
$156,949
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mitch Marner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$333,501
N/A
N/A
$240,489
Settled
No
kalshi

Taylor Hall

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$159,758
N/A
N/A
$130,601
Settled
No
kalshi

Nikolaj Ehlers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$105,262
N/A
N/A
$97,252
Settled
No
kalshi

Frederik Andersen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$103,059
N/A
N/A
$87,953
Settled
No
kalshi

Logan Stankoven

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100,709
N/A
N/A
$73,784
Settled
No
kalshi

Jack Eichel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$86,750
N/A
N/A
$74,508
Settled
No
kalshi

Carter Hart

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$78,787
N/A
N/A
$71,957
Settled
No
kalshi

Brett Howden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$78,395
N/A
N/A
$71,273
Settled
No
kalshi

Pavel Dorofeyev

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$68,537
N/A
N/A
$66,176
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Blake

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,690
N/A
N/A
$47,624
Settled
No
kalshi

Sebastian Aho

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,997
N/A
N/A
$34,096
Settled
No
kalshi

Nathan MacKinnon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,479
N/A
N/A
$22,123
Settled
No
kalshi

Seth Jarvis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,042
N/A
N/A
$15,880
Settled
No
kalshi

K'Andre Miller

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,655
N/A
N/A
$13,592
Settled
No
kalshi

Cale Makar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,040
N/A
N/A
$8,191
Settled
No
kalshi

Nick Suzuki

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,934
N/A
N/A
$6,788
Settled
No
kalshi

Scott Wedgewood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,637
N/A
N/A
$6,222
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor McDavid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,509
N/A
N/A
$7,201
Settled
No
kalshi

Jason Robertson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,924
N/A
N/A
$4,880
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrei Vasilevskiy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,283
N/A
N/A
$4,256
Settled
No
kalshi

Tage Thompson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,623
N/A
N/A
$3,250
Settled
No
kalshi

Cole Caufield

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,318
N/A
N/A
$2,450
Settled
No
kalshi

Brandon Bussi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,871
N/A
N/A
$2,410
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Oettinger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,590
N/A
N/A
$1,590
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 33

Intro

This market tracks whether Connor McDavid will win the Conn Smythe Trophy as the MVP of the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals. On Kalshi, the probability of McDavid winning the award stands at 83.0%. The market resolves based on the official winner of the Conn Smythe Trophy in 2026 as determined by NHL records. Watch for the conclusion of the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals on or around June 22, 2026, when the championship series concludes and the trophy winner is officially announced.

Kalshi

If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Connor McDavid, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Nathan MacKinnon, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Kirill Kaprizov, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Leon Draisaitl, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Nikita Kucherov, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Nick Suzuki, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is David Pastrnak, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Jack Eichel, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Tage Thompson, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Sebastian Aho, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Cale Makar, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Andrei Vasilevskiy, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Mikko Rantanen, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Seth Jarvis, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Clayton Keller, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Sidney Crosby, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Jason Robertson, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Jake Oettinger, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Cole Caufield, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Scott Wedgewood, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Frederik Andersen, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Mitch Marner, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Taylor Hall, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Brett Howden, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Jakub Dobes, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Carter Hart, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Logan Stankoven, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is K'Andre Miller, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Nikolaj Ehlers, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Pavel Dorofeyev, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Jordan Staal, then the market resolves to Yes. If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Jackson Blake, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and continuous trading rather than fixed lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds less frequently and build in margins for profit, while prediction markets aggregate thousands of individual trader bets into dynamic probabilities. For the Conn Smythe Trophy, comparing Kalshi prices to major sportsbooks reveals how professional oddsmakers and retail traders weight contenders differently. Prediction markets tend to be more responsive to breaking news, injuries, and playoff momentum shifts, making them a useful cross-check against static sportsbook lines.

The NHL Conn Smythe Trophy market resolves on Jun 22, 2026, following the conclusion of the Stanley Cup Finals. The outcome is determined by the official winner of the Conn Smythe Trophy as awarded by the NHL and confirmed by league records. This is one of the most prestigious individual honors in professional hockey, given to the MVP of the Finals series. Resolution occurs after the Finals conclude and the trophy is officially presented, ensuring all playoff games have been completed and the award winner is definitively announced by the league.

Several catalysts can shift Conn Smythe Trophy odds significantly. Major injuries to star players or goaltenders will reshape contender probabilities immediately. Playoff seeding changes and surprise playoff runs by lower-ranked teams can elevate new favorites. Trade deadline moves and roster acquisitions signal team confidence and alter win-now dynamics. Regular season performance streaks and head-to-head matchups between contenders provide real-time data. Goaltender performance and hot streaks often correlate with Finals odds, since goaltending typically determines Cup winners. Coaching changes, locker-room chemistry reports, and playoff experience of key players also influence trader sentiment and market prices as the Finals approach.