TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Next permanent Manchester City manager by August 15, 2026?
limitless

Next permanent Manchester City manager by August 15, 2026?

Volume:
$3,527

Maresca

 - Limitless

Maresca - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 6:13 AM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

Maresca

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

No change (Pep Guardiola)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.4¢
N/A
$510
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Vincent Kompany

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.3¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Andoni Iraola

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.4¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Robbie Keane

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.4¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Sean Dyche

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.5¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Thomas Frank

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.6¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Pep Lijnders

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.5¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Xabi Alonso

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.5¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Other

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.6¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester City by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC. If no new permanent manager is appointed by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "No change (Pep Guardiola)." If Pep Guardiola is no longer Manchester City’s permanent manager by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, and no new permanent manager has been appointed by that time, this market will resolve to "Other." If the person appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester City by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC is not listed above, this market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester City by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC. If no new permanent manager is appointed by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "No change (Pep Guardiola)." If Pep Guardiola is no longer Manchester City’s permanent manager by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, and no new permanent manager has been appointed by that time, this market will resolve to "Other." If the person appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester City by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC is not listed above, this market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Limitless reflect real-time trader consensus and can differ meaningfully from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds based on betting volume and risk management, while prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from many participants with direct financial incentive to forecast accurately. For Manchester City's next permanent manager, prediction market pricing may move faster or slower than sportsbooks depending on breaking news about managerial departures, contract negotiations, or club statements. Comparing the two venues reveals how different mechanisms price managerial uncertainty.

The market resolves on Aug 15, 2026, establishing who holds the permanent Manchester City manager position at that time. Resolution depends on official club announcements and verified managerial appointments or departures. Any interim or caretaker arrangement does not count as permanent status. The outcome is determined by Manchester City's official statements and credible reporting of permanent managerial changes. Markets typically resolve within days of the triggering event once sufficient confirmation is available.

Key catalysts include public statements from Manchester City leadership about managerial continuity or change, contract renewal or termination announcements, performance results and trophy outcomes, and rival clubs' managerial vacancies that might trigger interest in current or former City managers. Injury crises, transfer market activity, or Champions League performance could influence whether the club retains or replaces its manager. Media reports of negotiations with external candidates, boardroom changes, or strategic shifts in club direction would also move odds significantly. Trader positioning ahead of Aug 15, 2026 will intensify as the resolution date approaches.