TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 6:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester City by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC. If no new permanent manager is appointed by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "No change (Pep Guardiola)." If Pep Guardiola is no longer Manchester City’s permanent manager by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, and no new permanent manager has been appointed by that time, this market will resolve to "Other." If the person appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester City by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC is not listed above, this market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester City by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC. If no new permanent manager is appointed by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "No change (Pep Guardiola)." If Pep Guardiola is no longer Manchester City’s permanent manager by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, and no new permanent manager has been appointed by that time, this market will resolve to "Other." If the person appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester City by August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC is not listed above, this market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The market resolves on Aug 15, 2026, establishing who holds the permanent Manchester City manager position at that time. Resolution depends on official club announcements and verified managerial appointments or departures. Any interim or caretaker arrangement does not count as permanent status. The outcome is determined by Manchester City's official statements and credible reporting of permanent managerial changes. Markets typically resolve within days of the triggering event once sufficient confirmation is available.
Key catalysts include public statements from Manchester City leadership about managerial continuity or change, contract renewal or termination announcements, performance results and trophy outcomes, and rival clubs' managerial vacancies that might trigger interest in current or former City managers. Injury crises, transfer market activity, or Champions League performance could influence whether the club retains or replaces its manager. Media reports of negotiations with external candidates, boardroom changes, or strategic shifts in club direction would also move odds significantly. Trader positioning ahead of Aug 15, 2026 will intensify as the resolution date approaches.