TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 10:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Lamine Yamal scores a strictly greater number of goals than Lionel Messi across all matches at the 2026 FIFA World Cup main tournament. Goals scored in penalty shootouts do not count toward this market. This market will resolve as soon as both Lamine Yamal and Lionel Messi have completed their participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup and official final goal totals are available. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, or official final goal totals for Lamine Yamal and Lionel Messi are not available within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Lamine Yamal scores a strictly greater number of goals than Lionel Messi across all matches at the 2026 FIFA World Cup main tournament. Goals scored in penalty shootouts do not count toward this market. This market will resolve as soon as both Lamine Yamal and Lionel Messi have completed their participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup and official final goal totals are available. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, or official final goal totals for Lamine Yamal and Lionel Messi are not available within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this event is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The current odds reflect the latest equilibrium between buyers and sellers wagering on whether Yamal or Messi will score more goals at the 2026 World Cup. Prices update in real time as new trades execute, and the spread between bid and ask prices indicates market liquidity and confidence. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the Jul 20, 2026 resolution deadline, allowing dynamic exposure management as tournament expectations evolve.
The market resolves on Jul 20, 2026, after the 2026 FIFA World Cup concludes. Resolution is determined by the official final goal tally for each player across all matches they play in the tournament. The outcome hinges on which player scores more goals by the end of the competition, including group stage, knockout rounds, and any final matches. Traders should monitor both players' squad selection, playing time, and form throughout the tournament to assess their scoring likelihood as the event approaches and unfolds.
Key catalysts include squad roster announcements for both players' national teams, injury updates affecting either Yamal or Messi's availability, and their recent goal-scoring form in qualifying matches and club competitions. Major tournaments or friendlies before the World Cup will signal current fitness and tactical roles. Coaching changes or tactical shifts in either team's approach could affect playing time and positioning. Media narratives about generational transitions and Messi's final World Cup appearance may influence trader sentiment. As the tournament approaches, each player's group-stage performance will be a critical price driver, with early goals or scoreless matches reshaping market expectations.