TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Newcastle vs Liverpool: Spread
kalshi
opinion

What is the result of Newcastle vs Liverpool?

Volume:
$434,164

Liverpool wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Liverpool wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 1:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Liverpool wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$173,341
N/A
N/A
$71,746
Settled
No
kalshi

Newcastle wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$120,087
N/A
N/A
$55,326
Settled
No
kalshi

Newcastle wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$75,176
N/A
N/A
$43,728
Settled
No
kalshi

Liverpool wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65,560
N/A
N/A
$56,568
Settled
No
opinion

Newcastle wins

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

Liverpool wins

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

Draw

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the Newcastle vs Liverpool match in the English Premier League, focusing on different spread scenarios for both teams.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental divergence between outcome-based resolution (Opinion) and threshold-based spread resolution (Kalshi)Hero tip: Do not hedge across these platforms without confirming the exact spread threshold you are trading. Opinion markets resolve on win/draw alone while Kalshi requires specific goal margin outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Opinion: Resolves Yes if Newcastle wins the match (any margin). Resolves Yes if Liverpool wins the match (any margin). Resolves Yes if match ends in a draw after regular time.
  • Kalshi: Resolves Yes only if Newcastle wins by more than 2.5 goals OR Newcastle wins by more than 1.5 goals OR Liverpool wins by more than 1.5 goals OR Liverpool wins by more than 2.5 goals. Draw or narrower victories resolve No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in a professional English Premier League soccer match scheduled for August 23, 2026, between Newcastle and Liverpool. Resolution occurs solely based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Newcastle winning by more than 2.5 goals, Newcastle winning by more than 1.5 goals, Liverpool winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Liverpool winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market resolving to 'Yes' occurs only when the actual goal differential meets or exceeds the specified threshold for that particular market. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its intellectual properties.

Opinion

This market refers to the Premier League match between Newcastle (NEW) and Liverpool (LIV), scheduled for 2026-08-23 15:30 UTC. - NEW: If Newcastle wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - LIV: If Liverpool wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both NEW and LIV options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Premier League. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.premierleague.com/

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Newcastle vs Liverpool spread market aggregates data across multiple platforms, showing real-time consensus views and price movements. It tracks aggregated volume of $434,164 and 24-hour volume of $427,641, helping users monitor how trader sentiment evolves before the match. This unified view lets participants see how the spread is priced on different venues, with highlights on top outcomes and shifts in probability as the event approaches.