TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 12:05 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Newcastle and Hull City will determine if more than a certain number of goals are scored within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Newcastle vs Hull City professional EPL soccer game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market specifies a threshold (over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), and if the actual total exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. The secondary rule clarifies that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to predict the outcome accurately. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ capabilities. If there's a significant difference, it might indicate that market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Newcastle vs Hull City match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions regarding the total goals scored in the Newcastle vs Hull City game.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Newcastle vs Hull City match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The outcome will be based on official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see which contracts were winning and losing once the official result is available.
Several factors could influence trading in this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Newcastle or Hull City would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected number of goals. Even pre-game analysis from reputable sports commentators or unexpected lineup announcements could shift trader sentiment and impact the prices within this market. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ scoring potential is likely to be reflected in the market.