TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC
Volume:
$404,923
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Australia A-League soccer match between Newcastle United Jets FC and Macarthur FC scheduled for February 22, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: Newcastle win, Macarthur win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation language, while Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation but win markets resolve No.Hero Tip:
Monitor A-League official sources for any postponement or cancellation. If the match is canceled with no makeup game, expect Polymarket draw to pay Yes while win markets pay No. Clarify Kalshi's cancellation protocol with the platform before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcomes (Newcastle win, Macarthur win, Tie) resolve to Yes if the game occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins... If Newcastle wins... If Macarthur wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Newcastle win and Macarthur win markets resolve No on cancellation with no makeup. Draw market resolves Yes on cancellation with no makeup. Postponed games remain open until completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) vs 'this market will resolve Yes' (draw market).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.