TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC
Volume:
$625,050
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Newcastle United Jets FC and Adelaide United FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for any outcome (Newcastle win, Adelaide win, or draw), while Polymarket uses three separate binary markets that each resolve YES or NO based on specific outcomes. This creates fundamentally different market structures and resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market will always resolve YES regardless of the match result, making it unsuitable for directional betting. Polymarket offers three distinct binary markets where you can bet on Newcastle win, Adelaide win, or draw as separate propositions. Do not confuse Kalshi's catch-all YES resolution with Polymarket's outcome-specific markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three conditions all resolve to YES (Newcastle wins = YES, Adelaide wins = YES, Tie = YES), meaning the market resolves YES for every possible match outcome. This is a catch-all structure rather than outcome-specific resolution. Key quote: 'If Newcastle wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Adelaide wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with outcome-specific resolution. Market 1 resolves YES only if Newcastle wins, NO otherwise. Market 2 resolves YES only if the game ends in a draw, NO otherwise. Market 3 resolves YES only if Adelaide wins, NO otherwise. Key quote: 'If Newcastle United Jets FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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