TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC
kalshi
polymarket

Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC

Volume:
$625,050

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 11, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 6:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$91,581
N/A
N/A
$47,985
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,748
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Newcastle United Jets FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$172,982
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Newcastle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119,130
N/A
N/A
$80,399
Settled
No
polymarket

Adelaide United FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114,486
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Adelaide

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,123
N/A
N/A
$28,362
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Newcastle United Jets FC and Adelaide United FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves YES for any outcome (Newcastle win, Adelaide win, or draw), while Polymarket uses three separate binary markets that each resolve YES or NO based on specific outcomes. This creates fundamentally different market structures and resolution logic.Hero tip: Kalshi's market will always resolve YES regardless of the match result, making it unsuitable for directional betting. Polymarket offers three distinct binary markets where you can bet on Newcastle win, Adelaide win, or draw as separate propositions. Do not confuse Kalshi's catch-all YES resolution with Polymarket's outcome-specific markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three conditions all resolve to YES (Newcastle wins = YES, Adelaide wins = YES, Tie = YES), meaning the market resolves YES for every possible match outcome. This is a catch-all structure rather than outcome-specific resolution. Key quote: 'If Newcastle wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Adelaide wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with outcome-specific resolution. Market 1 resolves YES only if Newcastle wins, NO otherwise. Market 2 resolves YES only if the game ends in a draw, NO otherwise. Market 3 resolves YES only if Adelaide wins, NO otherwise. Key quote: 'If Newcastle United Jets FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.