TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK
Volume:
$801,868
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK match scheduled for February 24, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Markets span three outcome types: Qarabağ win, draw, and Newcastle win (Polymarket), plus a both-teams-to-score market (Kalshi). All markets reference the same 90-minute plus stoppage time window.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market and win markets have contradictory cancellation rules (draw resolves YES, wins resolve NO on full cancellation). Kalshi's both-teams-to-score market omits cancellation language entirely, creating resolution uncertainty.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket's draw market as a hedge against full cancellation (YES payout). Win markets on Polymarket are vulnerable to cancellation (NO payout). Kalshi's market is ambiguous—contact support to confirm cancellation handling before committing capital. Consider the likelihood of postponement vs. full cancellation when weighting positions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets (Qarabağ win, draw, Newcastle win) with unified postponement handling but split cancellation logic. Draw market uniquely resolves YES on full cancellation; win markets resolve NO. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Both-teams-to-score market covers 90 minutes plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided, creating ambiguity on how the market resolves if the match does not occur.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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