TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona
Volume:
$11,408,487
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona match scheduled for March 10, 2026, with three separate binary markets tracking whether Newcastle wins, Barcelona wins, or the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the same three-outcome framework (Newcastle win, Barcelona win, draw), the same time scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time), and the same primary resolution source (official governing body statistics with credible consensus fallback).
Primary resolution logic:
UEFA official match statistics; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible sports reporting sourcesCore resolution logic:
- Newcastle United FC wins: Market resolves Yes if Newcastle scores more goals than Barcelona after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- FC Barcelona wins: Market resolves Yes if Barcelona scores more goals than Newcastle after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Draw outcome: Market resolves Yes if both teams have equal goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Match postponement: All markets remain open until the match is completed
- Match cancellation with no makeup: Draw market resolves Yes; Newcastle and Barcelona win markets resolve No
- Time scope: Only regular play and stoppage time count; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is rescheduled and completed
- Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, the draw market resolves Yes and both win markets resolve No
- Extra time or penalties: Only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is used for resolution; extra time and penalty shootouts are not considered
- Official statistics delay: If UEFA does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible consensus reporting from major sports outlets may be used as the resolution source
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and official statistics are published or consensus is established, typically within 2 hours of match endOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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