TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.6b

24H VOL:

$185,329,595

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,799,378,420

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,813,258,821

507,072

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37,953

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,853

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

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62%

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Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC?

Volume:
$2,502,789

Aston Villa FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 3:09 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Aston Villa FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$817,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

AST

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$31,908
$149,813
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Newcastle United FC

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,321,854
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

NEW

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$5,800
$59,488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC)

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124,460
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$6,185
$29,935
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Premier League football match between Newcastle United FC and Aston Villa FC on October 17, 2026, specifically whether Aston Villa FC will win. Currently, the consensus probability of Aston Villa FC winning is 78.5%. This prediction aggregates data from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the Premier League. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 17, 2026, as the final result will determine resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official match results and a defined fallback data source hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the Premier League.

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled, win markets resolve 'No' and draw markets resolve 'Yes'.
  • Resolution source priority: Official sources > Flashscore > Sofascore > Consensus of credible reporting.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used, then Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, with a maximum delay of 24 hours after the event's conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Newcastle United FC and Aston Villa FC.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Newcastle United FC and Aston Villa FC.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Newcastle vs. Aston Villa match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Predict. It displays a consensus view of probabilities based on current trading volume, which currently stands at $2,502,789 with $2,478,133 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to see where the crowd believes the outcome of the match will land. The dashboard provides a combined perspective, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders across these platforms, offering a more robust signal than any single market alone. We track the probabilities to give you a comprehensive overview of expectations.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit from balancing action on both sides. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the collective opinions of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient price discovery, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may incorporate public sentiment, this market directly reflects it through trading volume and price movements.

Numerous signals and events could influence this market before it resolves. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Newcastle United or Aston Villa would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions on match day or significant managerial decisions could play a role. Any news that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths will be reflected in the trading activity and price movements of this market.