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New Zealand vs. Philippines
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of New Zealand vs Philippines?

Volume:
$501,279

New Zealand

 - Kalshi

New Zealand - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 6:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Zealand

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$204,006
N/A
N/A
$83,309
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New Zealand vs. Philippines

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$52,758
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Philippines

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$244,515
N/A
N/A
$103,881
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between New Zealand and Philippines scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking whether New Zealand or Philippines will win this professional matchup.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Philippines win and New Zealand win) are specified to resolve to Yes, with no defined No condition. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates data integrity failure.Hero tip: Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The market as written cannot resolve correctly because one team must lose, but no losing outcome is mapped to a resolution value. Polymarket's binary structure is the only resolvable version of this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary outcome: New Zealand win resolves to New Zealand, Philippines win resolves to Philippines. Handles edge cases (postponement = market stays open; cancellation = 50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Both outcomes map to Yes: Philippines win = Yes, New Zealand win = Yes. No explicit No condition defined. This creates logical impossibility since exactly one team will lose but no losing state is mapped to a resolution value.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for July 3 at 3:00AM ET: If the New Zealand win, the market will resolve to "New Zealand". If the Philippines win, the market will resolve to "Philippines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the outcome of the Philippines vs New Zealand professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two weeks. Should the game be cancelled and not played, or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed-odds bookmaking. Instead of a sportsbook setting a line, traders themselves determine prices through continuous buying and selling. This often produces sharper, more efficient odds because traders have real money at stake and face no house edge. Comparing this market's prices to traditional sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities, though prediction markets typically update faster and reflect live sentiment shifts more responsively than conventional betting platforms.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can create temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi also operate under distinct market rules, order-matching engines, and user interfaces that influence how quickly information is priced in. Additionally, variations in platform traffic, promotional activity, and trader risk appetite mean the same event can trade at different odds across venues. Arbitrage traders often exploit these spreads, though friction costs and withdrawal delays may prevent prices from converging instantly.