TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New Zealand will defeat Egypt by more than 1.5 goals in their FIFA World Cup soccer match. On Kalshi, the probability that New Zealand wins by over 1.5 goals stands at 19.0%, while the probability that Egypt wins by over 1.5 goals is 6.0%. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match scheduled for June 21, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Watch for the final whistle on June 21, 2026, which will settle the market based on the actual goal differential in regulation time.
The market resolves based on the goal differential in the New Zealand vs Egypt FIFA World Cup match on June 21, 2026. Resolution uses only goals scored during the standard 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded. Outcomes specify whether New Zealand or Egypt must win by a particular margin, with each threshold requiring the specified team to exceed that goal differential for a Yes resolution.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks adjust spreads to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader conviction and continuous price discovery. For New Zealand vs Egypt: Spread, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the crowd is more or less bullish on the spread than professional oddsmakers. This comparison helps identify potential value.
On Kalshi, New Zealand vs Egypt: Spread is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract's price—ranging from $0 to $1—reflects the collective probability estimate. Traders profit if their position aligns with the final resolution. Kalshi's order-book model allows real-time price negotiation, so the spread outcome's probability adjusts continuously as new trades execute. Liquidity and trading volume on the platform directly influence how quickly prices respond to new information.
The New Zealand vs Egypt: Spread market resolves on Jun 22, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final score and the agreed spread differential between the two teams. Once the match concludes and the final margin is confirmed, the contract settles based on whether the actual spread outcome matches the terms specified in the market. Traders should verify the exact resolution criteria on Kalshi to ensure they understand how the spread will be calculated and settled.
Key catalysts for New Zealand vs Egypt: Spread include team roster announcements, injury reports, recent form and head-to-head records, and pre-match analysis from sports experts. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage factors, and tactical adjustments can also shift trader expectations. Major news—such as a star player's availability or a coaching change—often triggers sharp price moves on Kalshi. As the match date approaches, accumulating betting action from the broader sports market may also influence prediction market sentiment for this spread.