TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 10:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event measures the goal differential between New Zealand and Egypt during the second half of their FIFA World Cup match on June 21, 2026. Bettors predict which team will win the second half by more than 1.5 goals.
Resolution depends on which team scores more goals during the second half (45 minutes plus stoppage time) of the New Zealand vs Egypt FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 21, 2026, and by how much. New Zealand must win by more than 1.5 goals for the first outcome to resolve affirmatively, while Egypt must win by more than 1.5 goals for the second outcome to resolve affirmatively. Only goals scored during the second half count. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, the event resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds reflect live trader consensus and often incorporate real-time information faster than traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may publish pregame projections based on team form and historical matchups, this market aggregates the collective judgment of active traders who have financial incentive to price the second half spread accurately. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value or where expert opinion diverges from market sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers on the second half spread outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent matched trade and pending orders at different levels. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, the bid-ask spread adjusts, allowing you to enter or exit positions at market rates or place limit orders to target specific price points.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once the New Zealand vs Egypt match concludes and the second half point spread can be verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final margin of points scored in the second half only, compared to the spread set at market open. Resolution occurs after official final scores are confirmed and any scoring reviews are complete.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or team news released before kickoff can shift the spread significantly. In-game momentum during the first half—such as early scoring runs, turnovers, or tactical adjustments—often influences trader expectations for second half performance. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and momentum swings during live play all provide signals that traders monitor to adjust their positions. Late-breaking roster updates or coaching decisions can also trigger sharp moves in this market.