TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 10:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact final score of the New Zealand versus Egypt FIFA World Cup soccer match scheduled for June 21, 2026. On Kalshi, a draw at 1-1 carries a 43.0% probability, while Egypt winning 2-1 is priced at 27.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch the match kickoff on June 21, 2026, as the final whistle will determine which correct score outcome resolves to Yes.
This correct score event resolves based on the final result of the New Zealand vs Egypt professional FIFA World Cup soccer match originally scheduled for June 21, 2026. Resolution is determined by the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. Each individual market resolves to Yes if its corresponding final score is achieved. The event encompasses a comprehensive range of possible outcomes including draws (0-0, 1-1, 2-2, 3-3), victories for Egypt across multiple score differentials (1-0 through 6-1), and victories for New Zealand (1-0 through 3-2). Resolution is based solely on the official final score recorded at the conclusion of regulation time plus any added stoppage time as determined by the match officials.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and attract different participant bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs in real time with minimal house edge. This market may reflect sharper or more volatile pricing than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. Traders on prediction platforms tend to specialize and update positions quickly, sometimes pricing outcomes before sportsbooks adjust. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential inefficiencies worth exploring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible correct score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has its own price, ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents, reflecting the collective probability estimate. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by taking positions they believe are mispriced relative to the true likelihood. The platform matches buyers and sellers in real time, so prices adjust continuously as new trades flow in. Liquidity and spreads vary by outcome popularity, with more heavily traded scorelines typically offering tighter pricing.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once the New Zealand versus Egypt match concludes and the final score is verified. The outcome is confirmed through credible public reporting of the official result. Until that point, traders can adjust positions as the event unfolds and new information becomes available. Early resolution is possible if the match is abandoned or postponed under circumstances that trigger market rules. Traders should monitor official team announcements and match schedules to stay informed of any changes that could affect timing.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly reprrice this market as traders reassess each side's attacking and defensive capabilities. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence scoreline probabilities. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market can shift prices rapidly, signaling conviction about specific outcomes. Social media sentiment and analyst commentary may also sway retail traders. As the match approaches, late-breaking roster updates or pre-game statements from coaches often trigger volatility. Traders should stay alert to official team channels and reputable sports news for catalysts that could reshape the odds.