TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 12:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Belgium will score more than 4.5 goals against New Zealand during their FIFA World Cup match on June 26, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—Belgium scoring above 4.5 goals—stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch the match on June 26, 2026, as the final whistle will determine whether Belgium reaches the 5-goal threshold required for a Yes resolution.
Resolution is based on goals scored by New Zealand and Belgium individually during the New Zealand vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 26, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Own goals count toward the team awarded the goal. New Zealand markets resolve to Yes if the team scores above 0.5, 1.5, or 2.5 goals. Belgium markets resolve to Yes if the team scores above 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals, depending on the specific market.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than bookmaker margins and risk management. Sportsbooks build in juice or vigorish, whereas prediction markets aggregate beliefs directly from participants. For the New Zealand vs Belgium: Team Total event, comparing Kalshi prices to major sportsbooks can reveal which venue considers one outcome more likely. These differences create arbitrage opportunities and signal where informed traders see value relative to conventional betting markets.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the New Zealand vs Belgium: Team Total market uses a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, directly reflecting the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As traders place orders, prices adjust in real time based on supply and demand. The current price on Kalshi reflects the marginal trader's belief about the likelihood of the event, making it a dynamic and transparent measure of market expectations leading up to resolution on Jun 27, 2026.
The New Zealand vs Belgium: Team Total market resolves on Jun 27, 2026. At that time, the outcome will be determined by the official final statistics from the match. Once the event concludes and results are confirmed, the market will settle based on which outcome occurred. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria are defined by Kalshi's event specifications and verified through official sources.
Several factors could shift New Zealand vs Belgium: Team Total odds before Jun 27, 2026. Team roster changes, injuries to key players, or official lineup announcements typically trigger significant price moves. Recent form, head-to-head records, and tactical adjustments by coaches also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions and venue factors closer to match day can impact expectations. Breaking news about player availability, coaching changes, or unexpected developments will likely cause rapid repricing on Kalshi as traders update their beliefs about the likely outcome.