TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 11:54 PM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup soccer match scheduled for June 26, 2026, where the outcome after the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time is assessed.
Resolution is based on the first half result of the New Zealand vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 26, 2026, after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. If the first half ends in a tie, the tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money bets from traders worldwide, often incorporating information faster than traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may publish pre-match predictions based on team form, injuries, and tactical analysis, prediction markets aggregate the collective judgment of many participants with financial incentives to be accurate. Comparing Kalshi odds to published expert predictions can reveal where the market consensus diverges from professional opinion, potentially highlighting undervalued or overvalued outcomes for the New Zealand vs Belgium first half.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the New Zealand vs Belgium first half winner market is priced as binary contracts reflecting the probability of each outcome. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price directly represents the implied probability. As new information emerges—team lineups, weather conditions, or pre-match news—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. The market price at any moment reflects the collective assessment of all active traders on that platform.
The New Zealand vs Belgium first half winner market resolves on Jun 27, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result at the end of the first half, as recorded by the match officials and confirmed by the relevant football governing bodies. The market will settle based on which team is ahead on the scoreboard when the first half concludes, or whether the teams are tied. Traders should monitor official match updates and any relevant announcements leading up to the resolution date.
Several factors could shift odds for the New Zealand vs Belgium first half winner before kickoff. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers significant market moves. Weather conditions at the venue may favor one team's style of play. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any late-breaking developments in either camp can influence trader sentiment. During the first half itself, early goals, red cards, or injuries will cause rapid repricing as the match unfolds and the probability of each outcome changes in real time.