TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact final score of the FIFA World Cup match between New Zealand and Belgium. Across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict, the consensus probability for any outcome other than a specific predetermined score is 100.0%, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in predicting exact match results. Resolution will be determined by official statistics from FIFA or the governing body, with credible reporting consensus serving as backup if official data is not published within 2 hours after the match concludes. Watch for the final whistle on June 26, 2026, when the 90-minute match plus stoppage time determines the resolution outcome.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between New Zealand and Belgium, scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the New Zealand vs. Belgium match originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The market resolves to Yes for any specific final score outcome in the New Zealand vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 26, 2026. Resolution is determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. Each possible correct score—whether a draw, a Belgium victory, or a New Zealand victory—constitutes a separate resolution condition. The final score is assessed at the conclusion of regulation play, and the market reflects the actual match outcome at that point.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between New Zealand and Belgium, scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the New Zealand vs. Belgium match originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently from traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different risk appetites and trader composition. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in margins, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs in real time. For the New Zealand vs. Belgium exact score, prediction market odds may diverge from sportsbook lines because traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are not constrained by the same operational costs or regulatory frameworks. Comparing both sources can reveal arbitrage opportunities and alternative perspectives on match outcomes before the fixture.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Predict attract different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally creates price variations for the same exact score outcome. Polymarket may show stronger conviction on certain scorelines due to higher volume or concentrated trader positions, while Kalshi reflects a separate order book with its own supply and demand dynamics. Latency in cross-platform arbitrage, differences in user interface and accessibility, and varying promotional incentives can also cause temporary spreads. These price gaps typically narrow as traders exploit opportunities, but they persist because each platform operates as an independent market.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and tactical shifts that alter expected goal-scoring patterns. Pre-match analysis, expert predictions, and betting syndicate activity on Polymarket and Kalshi can shift odds as new information emerges. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates may influence trader sentiment on specific scorelines. As match day approaches, late-breaking roster changes or manager statements often trigger repricing. During the match itself, live events—early goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will drive rapid revaluation of remaining possible exact scores.