TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 7:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if New Zealand wins by 2 or more goals against England during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 6, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 6, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, this outcome is priced according to the collective trades and positions of all market participants. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current chance reflects the balance of buy and sell orders; as new information emerges—such as team lineups, weather conditions, or recent form—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. Limitless uses a continuous order-book model, so the price you see represents the live consensus probability that New Zealand will win by 2 or more goals. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news.
The market resolves on Jun 7, 2026, after the match between New Zealand and England concludes. The outcome is determined by the final score: if New Zealand wins by a margin of 2 or more goals, the outcome resolves to yes; any other result (England win, draw, or New Zealand win by exactly 1 goal) resolves to no. Resolution is based on the official final score recorded by the governing football authority. Once the match ends and the score is confirmed, the market settles automatically.
Key catalysts include team announcements regarding injuries to star players, confirmed lineups, and recent form in qualifying or friendlies. Tactical shifts, coaching changes, or public statements from managers can shift trader expectations about New Zealand's attacking prowess or England's defensive strength. Weather forecasts closer to match day may influence gameplay style. Media coverage, betting syndicates, and social sentiment can also drive price movements. Additionally, any off-field developments—such as travel disruptions or administrative issues—could impact market odds as traders reassess the probability of a decisive 2-plus goal margin.