TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals - First 5 Innings Winner
polymarket

Who will win the first 5 innings: Yankees or Nationals?

Volume:
$95

New York Yankees

 - Polymarket

New York Yankees - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 6:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

New York Yankees

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Washington Nationals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 10 at 6:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 10 at 6:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Yankees-Nationals first 5 innings market dashboard displays real-time odds and price history for which team will lead after the first five innings of play. The interface shows current probabilities for each outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $95. This allows traders to monitor how sentiment shifts as game time approaches and to compare current pricing against their own expectations. The dashboard updates continuously, reflecting new trades and market activity throughout the pre-game and early-game window.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders with real money at stake. This market typically shows tighter spreads and faster price adjustments than traditional sportsbooks, since traders respond instantly to new information. Comparing the two can reveal whether public perception or professional oddsmakers view the first five innings outcome differently, making it a useful signal for identifying value.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the cumulative order flow determines the odds. As more capital flows toward one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures liquidity and allows traders to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-determined rates throughout the trading window.

This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, once the first five innings of the game are complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team has the higher score after exactly five innings of play. No extra innings or tie-breaking rules apply; the market simply reflects the official box score at the five-inning mark. Resolution typically occurs within hours of game completion, allowing traders to see final confirmation quickly.

Several factors can shift odds before and during the game. Lineup announcements, injury reports, and starting pitcher confirmations often trigger sharp moves in the hours before first pitch. Weather conditions, recent team performance, and head-to-head matchup history also influence trader positioning. Once the game begins, early runs, pitching changes, and momentum swings in the first few innings drive real-time repricing. Breaking news about player availability or unexpected roster moves can create sudden volatility, rewarding traders who monitor developments closely.