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New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
kalshi
polymarket
predict

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Volume:
$1,904,944

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 20, 3:07 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,524,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,162
$43,655
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$148,873
N/A
N/A
$135,758
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,282
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,058
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112,584
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,954
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,032
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,979
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$867
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the MLB game between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays scheduled for June 13 at 3:07 PM ET. Across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, the consensus probability for a Yankees victory stands at 39.0%, aggregated from real-time odds on each platform. Resolution will be determined by official MLB records. Watch for the game start time on June 13 to confirm whether the matchup proceeds as scheduled or faces any postponement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scheduled game date and time differ between Polymarket/Predict (June 13, 3:07 PM ET) and Kalshi (June 12, 7:37 PM EDT). First inning market scope is consistent, but cancellation/postponement edge case handling is incomplete on Kalshi.Hero tip: Cross-reference the official MLB.com schedule to determine the authoritative game date and time. If the game is rescheduled or moved, confirm which platform's fixture is the makeup game. For first inning markets, both platforms align on Yes/No logic, but Kalshi does not explicitly address postponement or cancellation scenarios—request clarification before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Game scheduled June 13 at 3:07 PM ET. First inning market resolves Yes if at least one run scored by either team; No if zero runs. Game winner resolves Yankees or Blue Jays, or 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Primary source: MLB.com official final statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
  • Predict: Game scheduled June 13 at 3:07 PM ET. Game winner resolves Yankees or Blue Jays, or 50-50 if canceled with no makeup or tied. Primary source: MLB.com official final statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. No first inning market listed on this platform.
  • Kalshi: Game originally scheduled June 12, 2026 at 7:37 PM EDT (one day and ~7.5 hours earlier than other platforms). First inning market resolves Yes if either team scores a run; No otherwise. No explicit handling of postponement, cancellation, or makeup game scenarios provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 13 at 3:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the New York Y vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 12, 2026 at 7:37 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 13 at 3:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect different risk profiles and trader bases than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs in real time. For the Yankees–Blue Jays matchup, prediction market prices may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue has more active participation and capital. Comparing both sources helps you identify value and understand whether consensus is shifting ahead of game time.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures. Polymarket and Predict may have varying levels of participation in baseball markets, leading to price gaps on the same Yankees–Blue Jays outcome. Regulatory differences, settlement speed, and platform-specific incentives also influence how quickly each market reacts to news or shifts in team form. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when one platform prices the matchup significantly higher or lower than the other, rewarding alert traders who spot and exploit these gaps.

Key catalysts for the Yankees–Blue Jays matchup include starting pitcher announcements, last-minute injury reports, weather conditions at the stadium, and recent team form or head-to-head records. Lineup changes, bullpen availability, and trades or roster moves can shift market sentiment hours before first pitch. Breaking news on player health, umpire assignments, or travel delays may also trigger sharp repricing. Monitor team social media, MLB injury reports, and weather forecasts in the hours leading up to game time for signals that could move prediction market odds.