TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 6:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers an MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays. The group contains three related markets: two head-to-head winner markets (one per platform with different scheduled dates) and one first-inning run-scoring market on Polymarket.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 8 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 7 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket and Predict can show different odds on the same matchup for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Liquidity distribution, user demographics, and fee structures vary between platforms, causing prices to diverge. Additionally, each platform may attract traders with different information sets or risk tolerances. Monitoring both venues helps you understand where consensus is strongest and where temporary mispricings may exist.
Key catalysts for this market include player injuries, lineup announcements, recent team form, and weather conditions on game day. Betting line movement at major sportsbooks often signals sharp money and can trigger repricing here. Pregame news—such as starting pitcher changes or roster updates—typically drives volatility. Monitor team news feeds and Vegas lines closely in the hours before the game, as late-breaking developments often create trading opportunities.