TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 6:40 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 7 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 7 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to establish prices. This market's odds represent what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, rather than a bookmaker's calculated spread. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment on this matchup differs from professional oddsmakers, offering insight into potential value or consensus blind spots.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is represented as a separate contract, and the combined probability of all outcomes should theoretically equal 100 percent. As traders buy or sell shares, the price moves to reflect new information and shifting expectations. The continuous pricing mechanism ensures that this market remains responsive to breaking news, injury reports, or other developments that could influence the game's outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, once the event concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final official score and any relevant statistics recorded during the game. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final out, allowing traders to settle their positions promptly. Polymarket's resolution process ensures that all participants receive consistent, transparent confirmation of which outcome occurred.
Key catalysts for this market include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and weather conditions on game day. Lineup adjustments or the return of star players can shift trader expectations significantly. Momentum swings—such as a winning or losing streak—often influence how traders price outcomes. Breaking news about player health, managerial decisions, or historical head-to-head matchup data can also trigger sharp price movements. Real-time updates during pre-game coverage typically drive final adjustments before the first pitch.