TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks individual run totals for each team in the New York Yankees vs Washington game on July 10, 2026, with separate thresholds for each team's scoring.
The market resolves based on the individual run totals scored by Washington and New York Yankees in their professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. Washington's outcomes resolve to Yes if the team scores above specified thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 7.5 runs (meaning 2 or more runs for the 1.5 threshold, 3 or more for the 2.5 threshold, and so forth). New York Yankees' outcomes similarly resolve to Yes if the team scores above thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 7.5 runs. Each team's performance is evaluated independently, so both teams' outcomes can resolve to Yes in the same game if both exceed their respective thresholds.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders betting real money on outcomes. This market may show odds that differ from traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the collective forecast of Kalshi participants. Comparing the two can reveal where traders see value relative to conventional betting lines, though both are valid pricing mechanisms for the same underlying event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the equilibrium between buyers and sellers at any given moment. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their orders, causing the price to move. Kalshi's transparent pricing model allows participants to see the full depth of the market and execute trades at the best available rates, ensuring efficient price discovery for this outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the final verified result of the game and the team's total score. Traders should monitor official sources and announcements as the event date approaches to understand any final details. Once the event concludes and results are confirmed, this market will settle according to the actual outcome.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before resolution. Roster changes, injuries to key players, or trades announced before game day often trigger sharp price movements. Team performance trends, recent scoring patterns, and head-to-head matchup analysis influence trader expectations. Weather conditions, venue factors, and coaching decisions can also sway sentiment. Breaking news about player availability or team strategy may prompt rapid repricing. As the event date approaches, accumulating data and expert commentary typically increase trading activity and volatility in this market.