TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 5:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event allows bettors to predict individual team scoring performance in the June 13, 2026 game between New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays. Separate outcomes track whether each team will score above specific run thresholds.
Resolution depends on individual team performance in the New York Y vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 3:07 PM EDT. Toronto outcomes resolve to Yes if Toronto scores at or above the specified threshold (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs corresponding to over 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, or 7.5 respectively). New York Y outcomes resolve to Yes if New York Y scores at or above the specified threshold (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs corresponding to over 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, or 7.5 respectively). Each team's performance is evaluated independently.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market's odds represent crowdsourced expectations from participants who profit or lose based on accuracy, potentially offering an alternative signal to traditional betting lines. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective assessment of the probability that the team total will fall within the specified range. As new information emerges or trading interest shifts, the bid-ask spread adjusts, and prices move to equilibrate supply and demand. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tightly prices are quoted and how easily you can enter or exit positions.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, once the game concludes and the final team total is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell contracts as new developments and game conditions unfold. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the event concludes and official scoring is finalized.
Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Weather conditions on game day, home-field advantage factors, and coaching adjustments can also influence scoring expectations. Breaking news about player availability or strategic shifts may prompt rapid repricing. As game time approaches, updated betting action from the broader sportsbook market and late-breaking team news often drive final adjustments to this market's price.