TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on individual team performance, tracking how many runs Toronto and New York Y each score separately during their June 12, 2026 game. Bettors can predict whether each team will exceed specific run thresholds independently.
Resolution is based on the individual final run totals for Toronto and New York Y in their professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 7:37 PM EDT. Toronto outcomes resolve to Yes if Toronto scores at or above the specified threshold (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs). New York Y outcomes resolve to Yes if New York Y scores at or above the specified threshold (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs). Each team's score is evaluated independently against its respective thresholds.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect aggregated trader beliefs in a continuous, transparent price. Sportsbooks typically include built-in margins; prediction markets tend to be tighter and more responsive to new information. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether traders are pricing the outcome more bullishly or bearishly than traditional oddsmakers, offering a useful cross-check for your own forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the last executed trade, and new orders are matched against existing bids and asks in real time. This structure allows prices to adjust instantly as new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices move and how tight the bid-ask spread remains throughout the market's life.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, once the event concludes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The final determination will reflect the actual combined team total from the matchup. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on pre-game analysis, injury reports, betting trends, and any other factors traders believe affect the likely result. Resolution is automatic once the event data is confirmed, settling all open positions at their final value.
Several catalysts could shift prices in this market before Jun 13, 2026. Key player injuries or roster changes announced by either team can significantly alter scoring expectations. Betting line movement at major sportsbooks often signals sharp money and can prompt traders to adjust positions. Recent team performance, head-to-head matchup history, and weather conditions on game day all influence how traders reassess the likely outcome. Breaking news about team strategy, coaching decisions, or player availability typically triggers rapid repricing as the market absorbs new information.