TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
New York Y vs Toronto: First 5 Spread
kalshi

New York Y vs Toronto: First 5 Spread

Volume:
$36,660

New York Y -1.5 first 5 innings

 - Kalshi

New York Y -1.5 first 5 innings - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 4:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New York Y -1.5 first 5 innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,715
N/A
N/A
$18,185
Settled
No
kalshi

Toronto -1.5 first 5 innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,069
N/A
N/A
$7,482
Settled
No
kalshi

Toronto -2.5 first 5 innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,999
N/A
N/A
$3,942
Settled
No
kalshi

New York Y -2.5 first 5 innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,877
N/A
N/A
$1,742
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event measures the run differential between the teams during the first five innings of the June 13, 2026 game. Bettors predict whether one team will lead by a margin exceeding specific thresholds at the end of the fifth inning. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open and resolves after the rescheduled game concludes within two days.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the run differential at the end of the first five innings of the New York Y vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 3:07 PM EDT. Toronto outcomes resolve to Yes if Toronto leads by more than the specified margin (2.5 or 1.5 runs) after five innings. New York Y outcomes resolve to Yes if New York Y leads by more than the specified margin (1.5 or 2.5 runs) after five innings. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game has finished, provided this occurs within two days of the original scheduled date.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the New York Y vs Toronto first 5 spread displays real-time odds and price movements as traders buy and sell shares tied to the opening quarter outcome. You can monitor the current implied probability, 24-hour trading volume of $34,173, and historical price charts to see how market sentiment has shifted. This market aggregates all trading activity on the platform, giving you a live snapshot of what participants collectively believe about how the first five minutes will unfold in this matchup.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader conviction and real-money risk. This market aggregates dispersed information from many independent participants, which can sometimes surface edges that sportsbooks have not yet priced in. Comparing the two can reveal valuable discrepancies for informed bettors.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks on binary outcomes tied to the first 5 spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the last executed trade, and the spread between buy and sell orders shows the current liquidity and conviction gap. As new information emerges or more capital enters, prices adjust in real time, ensuring the market continuously reprices the probability of each outcome.

This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, once the game concludes and the first-quarter spread is finalized. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources reporting the official score differential at the end of the opening five minutes. Resolution is automatic once the data is confirmed, and all positions settle based on whether the actual spread matched the prediction market's binary conditions.

Key catalysts include injury announcements, roster changes, or late-breaking lineup news that alter offensive or defensive capability in the opening minutes. Betting market shifts at major sportsbooks can signal sharp action and influence trader positioning here. Game-day conditions, referee assignments, and team momentum heading into tip-off may also sway early-game expectations. Real-time scoring updates during the first five minutes will drive final repricing as the actual spread becomes clearer.