TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 8:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines which team leads after the first seven innings of the July 7, 2026 game. Bettors can wager on either team winning the first seven innings or the score being tied at that point.
Resolution is based on the score at the end of the first 7 innings of the professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If New York Y has more runs after 7 innings, the New York Y outcome resolves to Yes and others resolve to No. If Tampa Bay has more runs after 7 innings, the Tampa Bay outcome resolves to Yes and others resolve to No. If the score is tied after 7 innings, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes and all team outcomes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on the outcome. For this market, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbook lines on the Yankees-Rays first 7 innings can reveal where the crowd of prediction traders differs from professional oddsmakers, potentially highlighting value or consensus shifts as game time approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of active traders at any given moment, with bid-ask spreads tightening as more volume flows in. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position, and the platform matches buyers and sellers in real time, ensuring transparent price discovery throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the first seven innings of the Yankees-Rays game are complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect which team is ahead after exactly seven innings of play. Resolution occurs shortly after the event concludes, allowing traders to settle their positions and move on to the next opportunity.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before the game begins and during the first seven innings. Lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and recent team performance trends often trigger early price movement. Once play starts, runs scored, pitcher changes, injuries, and momentum swings within the first seven innings will drive real-time trading activity. Weather conditions, ballpark factors, and late-breaking news about player availability can also influence how traders reassess their positions leading up to and during the event.