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400,720

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2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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New York Y vs Tampa Bay
kalshi

Who will win New York Y vs Tampa Bay?

Volume:
$2,915,751

New York Y

 - Kalshi

New York Y - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 9, 4:11 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New York Y

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,214,859
N/A
N/A
$534,716
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,700,892
N/A
N/A
$1,059,162
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether the New York Yankees will defeat the Tampa Bay Rays in their scheduled Major League Baseball matchup. On Kalshi, the Yankees victory is priced at 90.0%, while a Rays win stands at 11.0%. The market resolves according to the official result of the professional baseball game scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. Watch for team roster updates and injury reports in the days leading up to first pitch on July 9, 2026, as these factors typically influence late-market probability shifts.

Kalshi

This market covers the professional baseball game between New York Y and Tampa Bay originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. Resolution depends on which team wins the game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

The Kalshi dashboard for the New York Y vs Tampa Bay matchup displays real-time odds and price movements as traders buy and sell shares tied to the event outcome. You can monitor the current implied probability, historical price charts, and trading volume to understand how market sentiment has shifted over time. This live data helps you track whether confidence in either team is rising or falling as game day approaches, giving you a transparent view of collective prediction market opinion on this matchup.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and attract different trader bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of traders risking real money on outcomes. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees value or disagreement, though neither is inherently more accurate than the other.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the marginal probability assigned by the last matched trade, and you can enter or exit positions at any time before resolution. Deeper liquidity typically narrows the spread between buy and sell prices, making it easier to trade at fair value.

This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the matchup concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result of the game. Until that point, prices will continue to fluctuate as new information and analysis emerge, allowing traders to adjust their positions based on team news, injuries, or other relevant developments.

Key player injuries, roster changes, or unexpected trades could significantly shift odds in this market. Weather conditions, home-field advantage factors, and recent team performance streaks also influence trader sentiment. Major news—such as coaching decisions, disciplinary actions, or public statements from team leadership—often triggers sharp price movements. Additionally, as game day approaches, updated injury reports and final lineup confirmations typically drive increased trading activity and volatility in the odds.