TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 6:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The New York Yankees face the San Diego Padres in a major league baseball game. The outcome depends on whether the game lasts longer than the standard nine innings, requiring additional playtime to determine a winner.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the New York Y vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a particular result is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move in that direction. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's a fascinating comparison of different forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability implied by that price rises accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The market aggregates this collective intelligence to generate a forecast for the New York vs San Diego game.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New York vs San Diego game, specifically whether extra innings were played. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, pitching changes, or weather forecasts could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports on team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, even those unrelated to specific game factors, can sometimes impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals and understanding their potential impact is key to successfully navigating this market and anticipating price movements before the New York vs San Diego game concludes.