TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:19 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game is scheduled between two teams, with the contest set to begin in the evening. The game's outcome will depend on whether the match extends beyond the standard nine innings. This occurrence will determine certain conditions related to the event's progression.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the New York Y vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade based on their own insights, potentially leading to odds that more accurately represent the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market participants compared to sportsbook algorithms and professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, providing a real-time gauge of market sentiment regarding the New York vs San Diego game.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the New York vs San Diego game, specifically whether extra innings were played. The platform will utilize publicly available sources to determine if the game extended beyond the standard nine innings, and that determination will finalize the outcome of this market for all traders.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, pitching changes, or weather forecasts impacting the game could significantly move the market. Unexpected performance from key players during the game itself, or even strategic decisions made by the managers, could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment could all contribute to changes in the perceived probability of extra innings being played in the New York vs San Diego game.