TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.3b
24H VOL:
$121,875,814
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,437,844,306
405,535
Markets across
30,523
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 6:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether San Diego will win a professional baseball game against New York Y. Currently, Kalshi gives San Diego an 85.0% probability of winning, while New York Y is at 15.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the New York Y vs San Diego game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, as determined by the game’s official result. Keep a close eye on whether the game proceeds as scheduled on September 6, 2026, as any postponement could extend the betting period and impact the final resolution.
The market resolves based on the result of the professional baseball game between the two teams originally scheduled for September 6, 2026, at 4:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed but played within two days of the original date, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price rather than a definitive outcome. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides and ensure profitability. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sets, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of public opinion surrounding the New York Y vs San Diego game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring; higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at various price points, provides insight into the level of conviction behind different predictions regarding the New York Y vs San Diego game.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New York Y vs San Diego game, as reported by a widely recognized and impartial source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual game result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the New York Y or San Diego team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy, weather forecasts impacting gameplay, or even public sentiment shifts based on pre-game analysis could all affect trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to the game, such as a change in venue or starting lineup, would also be major catalysts. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s pricing of the New York Y vs San Diego game.