TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 9:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between the New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies. On Kalshi, the current probability for New York Y to win is 52.0%, while Philadelphia has a 49.0% chance. The resolution will be based on the game result. Watch for the game on July 24, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, as this will determine the market outcome.
Resolution is based on the final result of the New York Y vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, prediction markets let participants price outcomes based on their own analysis. This can lead to tighter spreads or different favorites, especially if new information emerges that shifts trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official game outcome, including any relevant tie-breaking procedures if applied, and will reflect the final score or declared winner at the conclusion of play.
Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, weather conditions affecting game play, and recent performance trends can all shift trader expectations and move this market. Additionally, any significant news—such as lineup changes or coaching decisions—may cause rapid price adjustments as participants reassess the odds leading up to the game.