TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 0.5 runs will be scored in the first inning of the New York Y versus Los Angeles A professional baseball game. Currently, the probability of Over 0.5 runs in the first inning is 38.0% on Kalshi. The resolution source for this market is whether either team scores a run in the first inning of the game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT. Keep an eye on the game’s starting lineup, as announced before the scheduled first pitch on September 2, 2026, which could signal potential scoring opportunities in the first inning.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the New York Y vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect sharper, more granular insights from engaged traders. While sportsbooks may offer a simplified win/loss line, this market lets participants bet specifically on whether any run is scored in the first inning, capturing detailed expectations about early-game momentum and starting pitcher performance.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the game’s official scoring is verified against credible public sources. The result depends on whether either team scores at least one run in the first inning of play, a fact recorded by the official game scorer and reported widely shortly after the inning concludes.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute changes to starting pitchers, weather delays affecting early-game dynamics, and pre-game injury announcements for key hitters or hurlers. Any development that alters expectations for early offensive output — such as a star player being scratched or a rainout being called — may cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as traders reassess the likelihood of a first-inning run.