TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 9:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either team will score a run in the first inning of the New York Y vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game. On Kalshi, the current probability for the leading outcome, "1st inning: Over 0.5 runs," is 1.0%. The resolution will be based on the game's result. Watch for the game scheduled for August 31, 2026, as this will determine the market outcome.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the New York Y vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether either team scores a run in the first inning of the game, as officially recorded in the box score. No additional interpretation is needed beyond the standard game statistics that are widely reported and easily accessible.
Key signals that could shift this market include changes to starting pitchers, weather delays affecting the game start, or any pre-game injury announcements for key hitters or pitchers. Traders will also watch for bullpen usage decisions that might signal a more aggressive or conservative approach in the first inning. Any last-minute lineup changes could also cause rapid price swings as participants reassess the likelihood of early scoring.