TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
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2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
New York Yankees and Detroit will play a professional baseball game on June 23, 2026. This market tracks whether the game extends beyond nine innings, requiring additional innings to determine a winner.
If New York Y and Detroit go to extra innings in the New York Y vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 23, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief about outcomes. This market's odds represent what thousands of independent traders are willing to stake on extra innings occurring, unfiltered by bookmaker margins. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders agree on the likelihood of this game going to extra innings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing extra innings outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade executed, and you can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, the bid-ask spread and midpoint price adjust in real time, ensuring the market continuously incorporates fresh signals about the likelihood of extra innings in this game.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the New York Y versus Detroit game concludes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether the contest extends beyond regulation play. Once the final result is confirmed through official game records, the market will settle and traders' positions will be credited or debited accordingly based on the actual outcome.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Injury reports or roster changes affecting either team's pitching depth may alter expectations around game length and extra innings likelihood. Weather conditions, ballpark factors, and recent offensive or defensive trends can also influence trader positioning. As game time approaches, line movement from sportsbooks, expert commentary, and betting activity on related markets may prompt traders to reassess their extra innings probability estimates, driving price swings on this market.