TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 9:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the combined run total between New York Y and Cleveland will exceed 4.5 runs in their matchup on Kalshi. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution is determined by the official final score from the professional baseball game, with the betting period closing at the scheduled game start time of 6:40 PM EDT on June 9, 2026. Watch for the final combined run total once the game concludes on June 9, 2026.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader consensus on total runs, while traditional sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk management. Prediction markets often incorporate breaking news and late-developing information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. For New York Y vs Cleveland, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook totals can reveal where sharp traders see value or disagreement on expected run output relative to bookmaker pricing.
The New York Y vs Cleveland: Total Runs market resolves on Jun 10, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final run total recorded in the completed game between New York Y and Cleveland. The market will settle once the game concludes and the official box score is confirmed, establishing whether the actual combined runs meet or exceed the specified threshold for this prediction market contract.
Key catalysts for New York Y vs Cleveland: Total Runs include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates to star hitters. Weather conditions—wind direction and speed, temperature, humidity—significantly affect ball carry and run-scoring potential. Recent offensive form, bullpen health, and head-to-head matchup history can shift trader expectations. Breaking news about player availability or last-minute roster changes in the hours before first pitch often triggers sharp repricing as the market absorbs new information.