TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New York Y and Cleveland will combine for more than 5.5 runs in their scheduled matchup. On Kalshi, the Yes outcome is trading at 99.0%. The market resolves based on the official combined run total from the professional baseball game between these teams. Watch for the completion of the game on June 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, which will determine the final combined scoring and settle the market.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs continuously. For the New York Y vs Cleveland total-runs market, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook totals can reveal whether the crowd is more or less bullish on run scoring than professional oddsmakers. These differences can signal value or consensus shifts in how the matchup is being assessed.
On Kalshi, the New York Y vs Cleveland: Total Runs market is priced as a binary contract reflecting trader consensus on whether the combined run total will fall into a specified range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% implied probability. Traders buy or sell contracts based on their view of both teams' offensive strength, pitching matchups, and ballpark conditions. The market price continuously updates as new information arrives, with higher prices indicating stronger trader conviction that the run total will exceed or fall short of the threshold, depending on the contract structure.
The New York Y vs Cleveland: Total Runs market resolves on Jun 9, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final run total recorded at the conclusion of the game between New York Y and Cleveland. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs scored by both teams meets, exceeds, or falls below the specified threshold embedded in the market contract. Once the game ends and the official score is confirmed, the market settles automatically based on that result.
Key catalysts for price movement in this market include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmation, and injury updates to key offensive or defensive players. Weather conditions—wind speed and direction, temperature, and humidity—significantly affect ball carry and run-scoring potential. Recent team form, bullpen availability, and head-to-head matchup history also influence trader positioning. Breaking news about player health, roster changes, or ballpark factors closer to game time can trigger sharp repricing. As the game approaches, real-time developments during pre-game activities and early innings will continue to shift market odds.