TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 2:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either the New York Y or Chicago WS will score a run in the first inning of their professional baseball game. On Kalshi, the current probability for Yes is 28.0%. The outcome will be resolved based on the game's official results. Watch for the first inning performance on July 30, 2026, as this will determine the market's settlement.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the New York Y vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends purely on whether a run crosses the plate in the first inning of the matchup, as officially recorded in the game’s box score. No subjective judgment is involved — the resolution is straightforward and based on standard baseball scoring rules.
Key signals that could shift this market include changes to starting lineups, especially pitcher announcements, weather delays or adjustments, and any pre-game injury updates. Traders will also watch early betting trends on Kalshi and reactions to last-minute news feeds. A strong performance by a starting pitcher in warm-ups or a sudden weather warning could cause rapid swings in odds as the first pitch approaches.